Choose under uncertainty without pretending uncertainty disappeared.
Build evidence-bound scenario architectures, stress strategic options, and evaluate constrained portfolios under capital, capacity, dependency, exclusivity and strategic-fit rules. The optimizer may support the decision; it cannot approve or move capital.
Scenario discipline
BASE plus DOWNSIDE or STRESS is mandatory. Plausibility scenarios do not receive fake probabilities.
Portfolio constraints
Capital, organizational capacity, dependencies, mutual exclusions and criteria are frozen before optimization.
Pareto frontier
Show strongest trade-off portfolios across expected value, strategic fit, risk and resilience instead of hiding alternatives.
Monte Carlo when justified—not as decoration.
Bounded simulation is optional where distributions are evidence-backed or explicitly owned assumptions. Outputs remain DERIVED and are not silently promoted to fact or forecast.